August 28th, 2020
In this video transcript, the hosts discuss the upcoming OPEC meeting and its potential impact on the oil price and investing markets. They highlight the difficulty in predicting OPEC's actions and suggest focusing on the structural implications rather than trying to predict short-term outcomes. They discuss the differences in this meeting compared to previous ones, particularly in terms of the geopolitical landscape and the divergence between Russia and Saudi Arabia. They also mention the challenges of OPEC production working its way through the system and the importance of considering the demand picture and the behavior of marginal buyers in Asia. The hosts discuss the potential scenarios of a production cut or no cut and how they could play out, emphasizing the potential negative effects of flooding the market and weakening demand. They also mention the importance of considering the timing and the impact on different markets, such as distillate and refined products. The hosts express skepticism about the sustainability of price rallies and suggest that it could be a good opportunity for selling in the EMP (exploration and production) space. They discuss the factors affecting the market, including rig counts, Pet Chem markets, NGL prices, and seasonal demand. Overall, the hosts provide insights into the complexities and uncertainties surrounding the OPEC meeting and its implications for the energy industry.
#OPEC #oilprice #investing #geopolitics #Russia #SaudiArabia #demand #marketimpact #productioncut #marginalbuyers #distillate #refinedproducts #EMP #rigcounts #PetChem #NGLprices #seasonaldemand
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