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August 28th, 2020
The key points from the video transcript are as follows:
- There is a shift in labor supply and demand, with job openings exceeding the available workforce.
- Initial jobless claims are lower than expected, indicating a lack of softness in the job market.
- Wages are staying elevated, leading to higher costs for companies.
- Real wages have slightly improved, but the pace of savings drawdown is fast.
- The top quartile of households is the largest driver of excess savings, raising questions about where people are investing their money.
- Household financial assets are at or below pre-pandemic levels, adjusted for debt.
- Debt, including credit card debt, is increasing, despite high interest rates.
- Inflation is higher than what is officially reported, as seen in rising food prices.
- Liquid assets have grown for all income groups, but significantly more for the top 20% income group.
- Credit is increasing, and delinquencies on car loans are rising.
- The change in household net worth to income ratio is negative, indicating a decrease in wealth.
- Real household net worth has experienced a significant drop, leading to a feeling of being poorer.
- There is a large amount of distressed debt in the real estate market.
#laborshortage #jobmarket #wages #inflation #savings #investments #debt #creditcards #householdwealth #realestate #distresseddebt
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