Primary Vision Network on YouTube

August 28th, 2020


The key points from the video transcript are:

- The international market will impact and shape what the US is doing on the coast.
- Global cumulative oil demand growth is expected to be driven by liquid fuels such as LPG and naphtha, rather than black oil.
- The exact numbers and predictions for future demand are uncertain, but there is a general shift towards liquid fuels due to the demand for plastics and petrochemicals.
- Gasoline demand is expected to decrease due to changing structural shifts in the way people work and travel, not just because of electric vehicle adoption.
- Black oil demand is not expected to fall, but rather go sideways, while the growth in demand will come from liquid fuels.
- OECD commercial crude and product inventories have increased since March 2022, and Chinese inventories are massive.
- Russian exports have increased, particularly in diesel, while crude exports have decreased.
- Refiners in Russia are ramping up operations, leading to increased exports of refined products.
- Diesel exports from Russia are near record highs, and refiners have prioritized production and exports of diesel due to strong profits.
- The Middle East is slowing exports of crude but increasing exports of products, and the US is still importing Russian products, albeit through a different route.
- South America is seeing increased imports, putting pressure on US exports to Latin America and increasing Europe's role as the main gateway for US exports.
- The Fortes differential is currently at negative 20 cents, but in a tight market, it is expected to be over a dollar, possibly closer to two dollars.
- Other crude differentials, such as Saharan blend and West Africa crude, are also lower than what would be expected in a tight market, but they have improved compared to previous levels.

#internationalmarket #oilindustry #energydemand #liquidfuels #petrochemicals #dieselexports #refinedproducts #crudeexports #USexports #tightmarket

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